← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Pau FC win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Pau FC +0 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
| 56' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Pau FC |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Jordy Gaspar · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1396.00 | 1092.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1487.12 | 1499.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.81 | -18.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 54.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.43 | 27.05 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |