← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Laval win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Laval +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Yasser Balde · Laval |
| 38' | 🟨 | Gaetan Weissbeck · Bordeaux |
| 44' | 🟨 | Danylo Ihnatenko · Bordeaux |
| 61' | ⚽ | Pablo Pagis · Laval |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gaetan Weissbeck · Bordeaux |
| 74' | 🟥 | Gaetan Weissbeck · Bordeaux |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sam Sanna · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amine Cherni · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1762.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1418.79 | 1490.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.15 | 3.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| league points | 50.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 87.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 26.63 |
| state index | -1.41 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |