← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 59% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
| Caen win | 18% | 5.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| AS Saint-Étienne −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Aimen Moueffek · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Caen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Brahim Traoré · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 148.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1610.07 | 1518.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.42 | 3.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.64 |
| league points | 69.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.76 | 3.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 26.87 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |