← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Apr 23, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Concarneau win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Concarneau −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Julien Celestine · Concarneau |
| 52' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Issiar Drame · Bastia |
| 72' | 🟥 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Concarneau |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.62 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 53.00 | 1514.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1487.10 | 1429.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.67 | -20.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 51.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.71 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |