← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Apr 23, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Valenciennes win | 20% | 5.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Ajaccio +0.5 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 74% | 1.29 |
| Over | 26% | 3.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 21' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Ajaccio |
| 30' | 🟨 | Lucas Woudenberg · Valenciennes |
| 30' | 🟨 | Owen Martinez-Jullien · Ajaccio |
| 33' | 🟨 | Francois-Joseph Sollacaro · Ajaccio |
| 48' | ⚽ | Manga Foe Ondoa · Valenciennes |
| 52' | 🟨 | Sacha Banse · Valenciennes |
| 66' | 🟨 | Wolo Touré · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟥 | Francois-Joseph Sollacaro · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 144.00 | 1392.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 0.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1323.85 | 1477.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.21 | 14.25 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.70 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| league points | 19.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.54 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 23.69 | 30.39 |
| state index | -1.82 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |