← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 70% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 |
| Valenciennes win | 10% | 10.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −1.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Valenciennes −1.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 20' | ⚽ | Nouha Dicko · Paris FC |
| 25' | ⚽ | Tuomas Ollila · Paris FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Joachim Kayi Sanda · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 324.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1549.54 | 1327.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.84 | -32.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 55.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.53 | -1.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |