← Ligue 2 2023 · Mon, Apr 15, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Grenoble win | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Angers SCO +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Zinédine Ould Khaled · Angers SCO |
| 45' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Bamba · Angers SCO |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 86' | 🟨 | Saikou Touray · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 45.00 | 411.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1439.47 | 1540.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.07 | -4.69 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 46.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 9.07 | 9.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 28.34 |
| state index | -1.18 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |