← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 13, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Dunkerque win | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Guingamp |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 64' | 🟨 | Nehemiah Fernandez · Dunkerque |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lenny Vallier · Guingamp |
| 75' | 🟨 | Nehemiah Fernandez · Dunkerque |
| 75' | 🟥 | Nehemiah Fernandez · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 0 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 225.00 | 1078.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1401.58 | 1514.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.66 | 13.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 42.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.19 | 27.05 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |