← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 13, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Pignard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Valenciennes win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Pau FC +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 34' | 🟨 | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Iyad Mohamed · Pau FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 64' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Manga Foe Ondoa · Valenciennes |
| 82' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 134.00 | 1382.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1341.92 | 1456.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.59 | 4.49 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 19.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 26.87 |
| state index | -1.21 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |