← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Ajaccio win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Ajaccio +0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Benjamin Bouchouari · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Christopher Ibayi · Ajaccio |
| 45' | ⚽ | Clement Vidal · Ajaccio |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mahmoud Bentayg · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 84' | 🟥 | Thomas Monconduit · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days | 1382.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1448.65 | 1612.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.75 | 37.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| league points | 45.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.71 | 27.25 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |