← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Valenciennes win | 15% | 6.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Annecy −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Giovino Flamarion · Valenciennes |
| 48' | ⚽ | Nordine Kandil · Annecy |
| 49' | ⚽ | Martin Adeline · Annecy |
| 72' | 🟨 | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 76' | 🟨 | Kapitbafan Djoco · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1071.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1463.20 | 1347.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.83 | -16.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.70 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 38.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 24.50 |
| state index | 0.51 | -1.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |