← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Dunkerque win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Florian Bianchini · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 51' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Bastia |
| 80' | ⚽ | Nehemiah Fernandez · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 36.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1464.80 | 1398.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.78 | 22.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 44.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 25.70 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |