← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Ajaccio win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 56% | 1.75 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 44% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 23' | ⚽ | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
| 38' | 🟨 | Charles Boli · Pau FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Tony Strata · Ajaccio |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hamza Sakhi · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 25 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1375.00 | 1375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1458.32 | 1446.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.78 | -50.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.83 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 45.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 28.48 |
| state index | 0.01 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |