← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Bordeaux win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Bordeaux −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Pedro Diaz · Bordeaux |
| 35' | 🟨 | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alexi Pitu · Bordeaux |
| 65' | 🟨 | Daylam Meddah · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Mandrea · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Issouf Sissokho · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 157.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1524.67 | 1486.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.84 | -21.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 50.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.81 | 25.53 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |