← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Bastia win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Laval −0.5 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Bastia |
| 34' | 🟨 | Pablo Pagis · Laval |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Remy Labeau Lascary · Laval |
| 47' | 🟨 | Facinet Conte · Bastia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Florian Bianchini · Bastia |
| 57' | ⚽ | Remy Labeau Lascary · Laval |
| 85' | ⚽ | Facinet Conte · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1734.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1466.94 | 1452.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.48 | -24.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.32 | 25.51 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |