← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Abed
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Grenoble +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 64' | 🟨 | Abdoulie Sanyang · Grenoble |
| 78' | 🟨 | Eddy Sylvestre · Grenoble |
| 88' | 🟨 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dante Rigo · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 6 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 29.00 | 1064.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1445.35 | 1518.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -64.02 | 7.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.82 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 27.16 |
| state index | -1.28 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.33 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |