← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 48% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Pau FC win | 23% | 4.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
| 18' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 32' | 🟨 | Jeremy Gelin · Amiens |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
| 53' | ⚽ | Gaël Kakuta · Amiens |
| 56' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Amiens |
| 64' | 🟨 | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Andy Carroll · Amiens |
| 75' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 273.00 | 1368.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1472.75 | 1445.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.93 | -11.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.73 |
| league points | 45.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 28.15 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |