← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Paris FC win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bordeaux −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Biumla · Bordeaux |
| 34' | ⚽ | Nouha Dicko · Paris FC |
| 35' | 🟨 | Ayoub Jabbari · Paris FC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Jules Gaudin · Paris FC |
| 42' | ⚽ | Zuriko Davitashvili · Bordeaux |
| 48' | ⚽ | Yoann Barbet · Bordeaux |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Samir Sophian Chergui · Paris FC |
| 82' | 🟨 | Yoann Barbet · Bordeaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Bordeaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moustapha Mbow · Paris FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pedro Diaz · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bordeaux | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Matmut-Atlantique |
| coach days | 181.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1486.96 | 1521.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.95 | 24.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 39.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.44 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 26.32 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |