← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Valenciennes win | 13% | 7.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +1 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Valenciennes +1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Irvin Cardona · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 23' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 30' | ⚽ | Irvin Cardona · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 56' | 🟨 | Yvann Maçon · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 120.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1354.91 | 1600.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.02 | 52.29 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.84 |
| league points | 19.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 13.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.61 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.44 | 26.73 |
| state index | -1.19 | 1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.03 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |