← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Concarneau win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Concarneau −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Julien Faussurier · Concarneau |
| 17' | 🟨 | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Clement Rodrigues · Concarneau |
| 74' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · Pau FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Tom Lebeau · Concarneau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1354.00 | 1476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1432.04 | 1464.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.56 | -14.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 39.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.81 | 27.94 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |