← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 |
| Valenciennes win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Valenciennes −1 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Pierre Lemonnier · Guingamp |
| 22' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 64' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 78' | 🟨 | Halid Šabanović · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 1050.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1510.44 | 1363.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.34 | -9.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 47.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 23.85 |
| state index | 0.04 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |