← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
| Caen win | 20% | 5.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
| 38' | 🟨 | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
| 76' | ⚽ | Rayan Raveloson · AJ Auxerre |
| 82' | ⚽ | Jubal · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 15 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 532.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 3.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1638.52 | 1509.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.41 | 15.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| league points | 58.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.96 | 27.42 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |