← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Pau FC win | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Yohan Bilingi · Dunkerque |
| 79' | ⚽ | Samy Baghdadi · Dunkerque |
| 87' | 🟨 | Kenji Van Boto · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 190.00 | 1347.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1390.68 | 1441.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.29 | -32.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 35.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 26.56 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |