← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Concarneau win | 27% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Concarneau +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 41' | 🟨 | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 58' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 66' | ⚽ | Isaac Matondo · Concarneau |
| 86' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Concarneau |
| 90' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Concarneau | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le Blé |
| coach days | 1469.00 | 1043.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1475.74 | 1499.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.38 | -20.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 40.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 26.95 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |