← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 36% | 2.71 |
| AJ Auxerre win | 36% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| AJ Auxerre +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
| 24' | 🟨 | Dylan Batubinsika · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 55' | ⚽ | Irvin Cardona · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mickael Nade · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 78' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · AJ Auxerre |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jubal · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 99.00 | 525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1574.50 | 1648.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 58.98 | -2.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| league points | 51.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 26.99 |
| state index | 1.15 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |