← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Grenoble +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 36' | ⚽ | Dylan Tavares · Bastia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Facinet Conte · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1483.58 | 1482.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.34 | -33.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 68.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 38.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 27.90 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |