← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 71% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Valenciennes win | 10% | 10.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −1.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| AJ Auxerre −1.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Elisha Owusu · AJ Auxerre |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jean Louchet · Valenciennes |
| 61' | 🟨 | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
| 61' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabin Blancquart · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 518.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1656.76 | 1351.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.85 | -9.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 57.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 0.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 23.88 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |