← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Frappart
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Pau FC win | 22% | 4.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 815.00 | 1333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1495.79 | 1438.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.20 | -32.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 45.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.03 | 27.03 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |