← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Valenciennes win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Dunkerque |
| 30' | ⚽ | Ilyes Hamache · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjaloud Youssouf · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Benjaloud Youssouf · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 169.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1350.22 | 1372.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 62.85 | -6.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 25.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 24.64 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |