← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Concarneau win | 25% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Concarneau +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Concarneau |
| 34' | 🟨 | Maxime Etuin · Concarneau |
| 49' | ⚽ | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Paris FC |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Maxime Etuin · Concarneau |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alec Georgen · Concarneau |
| 80' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Concarneau | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 1448.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1497.91 | 1495.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.91 | -11.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 38.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.14 | 26.83 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |