← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Concarneau win | 26% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Concarneau −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Gaby Jean · Annecy |
| 26' | 🟨 | Yohan Demoncy · Annecy |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ousmane Camara · Annecy |
| 50' | 🟨 | Moise Mahop · Annecy |
| 76' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Concarneau |
| 81' | 🟥 | Yacouba Barry · Annecy |
| 86' | ⚽ | Clement Rodrigues · Concarneau |
| 87' | ⚽ | Clement Rodrigues · Concarneau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1015.00 | 1441.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1443.85 | 1479.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.45 | 9.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 27.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 27.95 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |