← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
| Pau FC win | 19% | 5.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Paris FC −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Pau FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Yoan Koré · Paris FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yoan Koré · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 254.00 | 1319.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1497.70 | 1474.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.70 | -17.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 34.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.50 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 28.07 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |