← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 10, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Ajaccio win | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ajaccio +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 73% | 1.32 |
| Over | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Christopher Ibayi · Ajaccio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maxime Chanot · Ajaccio |
| 58' | 🟨 | Christopher Ibayi · Ajaccio |
| 65' | ⚽ | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
| 74' | 🟨 | Vincent Manceau · Guingamp |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mehdi Puch-Herrantz · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟥 | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1319.00 | 1015.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1480.82 | 1519.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.79 | -6.97 |
| eye test v1 | -1.27 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 66.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 39.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 31.01 | 27.62 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |