← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 53% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Pau FC win | 22% | 4.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Pau FC +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · AJ Auxerre |
| 38' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 40' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
| 49' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Jubal · AJ Auxerre |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gideon Mensah · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | 🟨 | Donovan Léon · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1312.00 | 490.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1470.92 | 1651.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.30 | 19.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 68.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| league points | 34.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |