← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Caen win | 29% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Loïc Nestor · Grenoble |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 55' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dante Rigo · Grenoble |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Amine Sbai · Grenoble |
| 85' | 🟥 | Alexandre Coeff · Caen |
| 89' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daylam Meddah · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Saikou Touray · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 794.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1515.85 | 1509.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.17 | 15.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 42.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.70 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |