← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Dunkerque win | 28% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Thomas Monconduit · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 81' | ⚽ | Opa Sangante · Dunkerque |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gautier Larsonneur · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tidiane Keita · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 155.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1331.62 | 1529.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.60 | -0.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| league points | 21.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |