← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Dunkerque win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Paris FC −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Dunkerque |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Paris FC |
| 41' | ⚽ | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 56' | ⚽ | Kouadio Dabila · Paris FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Elhadj Bah · Dunkerque |
| 67' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Dunkerque |
| 74' | 🟥 | Mohamed Lamine Diaby · Paris FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 240.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1513.40 | 1315.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.65 | 0.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| league points | 33.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 27.58 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.34 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |