← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Guingamp win | 26% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · AJ Auxerre |
| 36' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Guingamp |
| 82' | 🟨 | Taylor Luvambo · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 483.00 | 1001.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1655.91 | 1541.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.36 | -5.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| league points | 48.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 27.16 |
| state index | 1.16 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |