← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Valenciennes win | 31% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Bastia +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Yllan Okou · Bastia |
| 20' | 🟨 | Anthony Knockaert · Valenciennes |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 34' | 🟨 | Florian Bohnert · Bastia |
| 53' | ⚽ | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 57' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Bastia |
| 61' | ⚽ | Anthony Knockaert · Valenciennes |
| 69' | 🟨 | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 57.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1360.66 | 1483.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.87 | -7.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 13.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.37 | 27.01 |
| state index | -1.79 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |