← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Jan 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 49% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Amiens win | 23% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | ⚽ | Maxime Do Couto · Amiens |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cafaro · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 56' | 🟨 | Youssouf Assogba · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ring · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 57.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1543.59 | 1444.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.18 | 11.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.81 |
| league points | 38.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.76 | 3.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 27.29 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |