← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Jan 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.75 |
| Ajaccio win | 31% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ajaccio +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.34 |
| Over | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 19' | 🟨 | Julien Anziani · Dunkerque |
| 22' | 🟨 | Gessime Yassine · Dunkerque |
| 37' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 45' | ⚽ | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 49' | 🟨 | Clement Vidal · Ajaccio |
| 52' | ⚽ | Elhadj Bah · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 144.00 | 1301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1294.27 | 1502.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.09 | -18.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| league points | 15.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 10.07 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 29.35 |
| state index | -1.30 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |