← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Jan 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Wattellier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 40% | 2.35 |
| Pau FC win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Dylan Chambost · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bingourou Kamara · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 0 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1301.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1480.93 | 1533.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.54 | -26.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 66.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 33.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 10.07 | 10.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.44 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |