← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Jan 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Paris FC win | 27% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Pablo Pagis · Laval |
| 45' | 🟥 | Jimmy Roye · Laval |
| 46' | ⚽ | Josias Lukembila · Paris FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mamadou Samassa · Laval |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sam Sanna · Laval |
| 89' | 🟨 | Moustapha Mbow · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Adeoti · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1667.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1473.84 | 1512.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.68 | 18.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.90 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| league points | 36.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 10.24 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.08 | 24.64 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |