← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Jan 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 52% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Rodez win | 20% | 4.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Rodez −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
| 3' | ⚽ | Andreas Hountondji · Rodez |
| 8' | ⚽ | Andreas Hountondji · Rodez |
| 26' | ⚽ | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 31' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Bradley Danger · Rodez |
| 56' | 🟨 | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 997.00 | 418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1544.39 | 1482.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.08 | 19.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 37.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 10.07 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.52 | 24.43 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |