← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Jan 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Valenciennes win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Bordeaux −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Gaetan Weissbeck · Bordeaux |
| 46' | 🟨 | Manga Foe Ondoa · Valenciennes |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Bordeaux |
| 57' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Biumla · Bordeaux |
| 65' | ⚽ | Pedro Diaz · Bordeaux |
| 80' | ⚽ | Aymen Boutoutaou · Valenciennes |
| 86' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bordeaux | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Matmut-Atlantique |
| coach days | 114.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1486.05 | 1368.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.86 | -32.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 25.31 |
| state index | -0.14 | -1.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |