← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Jan 13, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Valenciennes win | 29% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Amiens +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Jordan Poha · Valenciennes |
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 51' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ring · Amiens |
| 60' | 🟨 | Giovino Flamarion · Valenciennes |
| 80' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 82' | 🟨 | Anthony Knockaert · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 43.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1378.98 | 1425.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.31 | -3.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 13.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 24.93 | 24.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.62 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.13 | 27.74 |
| state index | -1.33 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |