← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Dec 19, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 49% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Dunkerque win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Dunkerque +0.5 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Bordeaux |
| 10' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Dunkerque |
| 22' | 🟨 | Danylo Ihnatenko · Bordeaux |
| 59' | 🟨 | Malcom Bokele · Bordeaux |
| 69' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Dunkerque |
| 70' | ⚽ | Alberth Elis · Bordeaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hugo Gambor · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 109.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1297.16 | 1482.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.36 | -46.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 26.08 |
| state index | -1.21 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.95 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |