← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Dec 19, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 52% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Bastia win | 21% | 5.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Dylan Chambost · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 9' | ⚽ | Dylan Chambost · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 41' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Florian Tardieu · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 48' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Anthony Briançon · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 63' | ⚽ | Mathieu Cafaro · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Cheick Keita · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 18.00 | 809.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1529.79 | 1484.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -58.26 | 0.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.81 |
| league points | 31.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.24 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 25.64 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |