← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Dec 19, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.92 |
| Valenciennes win | 20% | 5.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.35 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
| 29' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Ajaccio |
| 31' | ⚽ | Yassine Haouari · Valenciennes |
| 42' | ⚽ | Yoann Touzghar · Ajaccio |
| 64' | 🟨 | Gabin Blancquart · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1266.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1523.80 | 1383.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.34 | -12.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 33.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.24 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.17 | 22.69 |
| state index | 0.04 | -1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |