← Ligue 2 2023 · Wed, Dec 6, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 37% | 2.68 |
| Caen win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Caen +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Steve Shamal · Annecy |
| 20' | ⚽ | Samuel Ntamack Ndimba · Annecy |
| 50' | 🟨 | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 77' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 80' | ⚽ | Mathias Autret · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hamjatou Soukouna · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 949.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1461.70 | 1478.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.16 | -18.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.69 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 27.45 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |